Ranger Suárez, Kyle Schwarber decline qualifying offers; here's what Phillies will get if they leave

As expected, both Ranger Suárez and Kyle Schwarber declined the one-year/$22.025 million qualifying offers that the Phillies extended to them before this evening's deadline. ESPN's Jeff Passan was the first to report this. 

This does not mean that the Phillies can't re-sign either. For example, J.T. Realmuto (2020) and Aaron Nola (2023) both declined qualifying offers and ultimately returned to the Phillies in free agency. 

However, if either leaves in free agency, the Phillies will receive a compensatory pick after the fourth-round of the 2026 MLB Draft. That may not seem like much, and frankly, it's not. But because the Phillies exceeded the luxury tax threshold, they get the smallest compensation for losing a qualified free agent. The New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays, Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego Padres and New York Mets also fall into this category. 

Over on Bleacher Report, I released my contract and landing spot predictions earlier this week. I predicted that Schwarber will re-sign with the Phillies on a four-year/$135 million deal, while Suárez will leave in free agency for a four-year/$110 million pact that includes a player opt-out after 2027. In that scenario, the Phillies would get one compensatory pick in next July's MLB Draft. 

Rather surprisingly, four players — Shota Imanaga (Chicago Cubs), Trent Grisham (New York Yankees), Gleyber Torres (Detroit Tigers) and Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers) — all accepted the qualifying offer. 

Kyle Tucker (Cubs), Framber Valdez (Houston Astros), Dylan Cease (San Diego Padres), Bo Bichette (Blue Jays), Edwin Díaz (Mets), Zac Gallen (Arizona Diamondbacks) and Michael King (Padres) all declined the QO. 

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